If you are thinking about purchasing a home right now, you are surely getting a lot of advice. Though your friends and family have your best interests at heart, they may not be fully aware of your needs and what is currently happening in real estate. Let’s look at whether or not now is actually a good time for you to buy a home.
There are three questions you should ask before purchasing in today’s market:
1. Why am I buying a home in the first place?
This truly is the most important question to answer. Forget the finances for a minute. Why did you even begin to consider purchasing a home? For most, the reason has nothing to do with finances. A study by the Joint Center for Housing Studies at Harvard University reveals that the four major reasons people buy a home have nothing to do with money:
- A good place to raise children and for them to get a good education
- A place where you and your family feel safe
- More space for you and your family
- Control of the space
What non-financial benefits will you and your family derive from owning a home? The answer to that question should be the biggest reason you decide to purchase or not.
2. Where are home values headed?
When looking at future housing values, Home Price Expectation Survey provides a fair assessment. Every quarter, Pulsenomics surveys a nationwide panel of over one hundred economists, real estate experts and investment & market strategists about where prices are headed over the next five years. They then average the projections of all 100+ experts into a single number.
Here is what the experts projected in the latest survey:
- Home values will appreciate by 4% in 2015.
- The cumulative appreciation will be 23.5% by 2019.
- Even the experts making up the most bearish quartile of the survey still are projecting a cumulative appreciation of over 15.1% by 2019.
Members of an expert panel share their opinions re: the impact of institutional buyers on the housing market, and how much longer The Fed’s monetary stimulus program should remain in place. Note: 48% of these experts feel conditions of the recovery have already happened or will happen within 1-2 years!
Home values are appreciating by leaps and bounds according to the Zillow research team:
3. Where are mortgage interest rates headed?
A buyer must be concerned about more than just prices. The ‘long term cost’ of a home can be dramatically impacted by an increase in mortgage rates.
The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA), the National Association of Realtors, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac have all projected that mortgage interest rates will increase by approximately one full percentage over the next twelve months.
Last week, the MBA index of refinance mortgage applications volume increased 66% in response to
interest rates falling below 4 percent for the first time since the middle of 2013. Conventional refinance volume increased to a greater extent than government refinance volume.
Compared to when interest rates last fell below 4 percent, last week’s index level is about one-half of the average level during 2012 and 2013 when rates were this low.
Only you and your family can know for certain the right time to purchase a home. Answering these questions will help you make that decision.